本文選題：工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整 + 區(qū)位商��； 參考：《河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：早在2009年，石家莊市人民政府關(guān)于市級(jí)財(cái)政支持構(gòu)建現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)體系提出建議，因此，立足石家莊市的長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展，立足石家莊市的實(shí)際情況，應(yīng)該建立一套合理的現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)體系。2014年3月5日國(guó)務(wù)院總理李克強(qiáng)關(guān)于京津冀問(wèn)題在文件中曾提出，充分利用京津冀區(qū)域的有利優(yōu)勢(shì)，加強(qiáng)環(huán)渤海地區(qū)以及京津冀地區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。實(shí)現(xiàn)京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展是一個(gè)重大國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略，石家莊又面臨京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展這樣一個(gè)發(fā)展機(jī)遇，選準(zhǔn)突破口，突出優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)、突出產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚加速構(gòu)建現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)體系是當(dāng)務(wù)之急。因此，研究石家莊工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整特征、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化路徑、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響等等都是非常重要的課題。 本文首先綜述了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整相關(guān)理論和國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀，在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論基礎(chǔ)上，通過(guò)石家莊工業(yè)發(fā)展和結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整發(fā)展歷程的分析，對(duì)石家莊市的工業(yè)化歷程提出了四個(gè)階段：一是工業(yè)化起ki階段；二是工業(yè)化基礎(chǔ)階段；三是工業(yè)化推進(jìn)階段；四是工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整階段。 其次，為研究工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系，通過(guò)研究工業(yè)行業(yè)劃分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，對(duì)行業(yè)進(jìn)行分類調(diào)整，調(diào)整后為35個(gè)細(xì)分行業(yè)，克服了1997-2012年石家莊工業(yè)的行業(yè)分類不一致的障礙，確保了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法使用的有效性。 再次，利用1997-2012年統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用GDP增速對(duì)工業(yè)增速的彈性系數(shù)、工業(yè)對(duì)GDP增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率以及向量自回歸模型綜合研究石家莊工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生的影響；運(yùn)用區(qū)位商法，描述現(xiàn)階段工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整情況，綜合考慮產(chǎn)業(yè)貢獻(xiàn)率，產(chǎn)業(yè)能耗情況，產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展類型綜合評(píng)測(cè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整中存在問(wèn)題；通過(guò)測(cè)定工業(yè)調(diào)整和國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值的聯(lián)動(dòng)關(guān)系，定量分析現(xiàn)階段工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響；采用主成分分析，，探究未來(lái)工業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的現(xiàn)實(shí)路徑。并研究了石家莊工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化和高度化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相互關(guān)系。 在上面統(tǒng)計(jì)分析的基礎(chǔ)上，研究了石家莊工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整升級(jí)的方向和主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇，結(jié)合石家莊市“十二五”規(guī)劃的總體發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略，對(duì)石家莊工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整優(yōu)化升級(jí)的政策取向和建議提出了自己的觀點(diǎn)。
[Abstract]:As early as 2009, the people's Government of Shijiazhuang put forward suggestions on municipal financial support for the construction of a modern industrial system. Therefore, based on the long-term development of Shijiazhuang and the actual situation of Shijiazhuang, A reasonable modern industrial system should be established. On March 5, 2014, Premier Li Keqiang mentioned in a document on the issue of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei to make full use of the advantages of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Strengthen the coordinated development of the Bohai Rim and Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei regions. It is an important national strategy to realize the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and Shijiazhuang is faced with such a development opportunity as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordination. It is urgent for Shijiazhuang to select the right breakthrough, highlight the superior industry and accelerate the construction of modern industrial system. Therefore, it is very important to study the characteristics of industrial structure adjustment in Shijiazhuang, the path of industrial structure optimization, the influence of industrial structure adjustment on economic growth and so on. This paper first summarizes the relevant theories of industrial structure adjustment and domestic and foreign research status, on the basis of industrial structure theory, through the analysis of Shijiazhuang industrial development and structural adjustment development process. This paper puts forward four stages of the industrialization of Shijiazhuang: one is the industrialization stage, the other is the industrialization foundation stage, the third is the industrialization promotion stage, and the fourth is the industrial structure adjustment stage. Secondly, in order to study the relationship between industrial structure adjustment and economic growth, through the study of industrial industry division standard, the industry is classified and adjusted. After adjustment, it is divided into 35 subdivision industries. The inconsistency of industrial classification in Shijiazhuang from 1997 to 2012 was overcome, and the validity of statistical analysis method was ensured. Thirdly, using the statistical data of 1997-2012, using the elasticity coefficient of GDP growth to industrial growth, the contribution rate of industry to GDP growth and the vector autoregressive model, the paper synthetically studies the influence of Shijiazhuang industrial structure adjustment on economy, and applies the location quotient method. Describing the current situation of industrial structure adjustment, synthetically considering the industrial contribution rate, industrial energy consumption and industrial development type, evaluating the problems existing in the industrial structure adjustment, measuring the linkage relationship between industrial adjustment and gross domestic product, Quantitative analysis of the impact of the industrial structure adjustment on the economy at this stage and the use of principal component analysis to explore the future industrial transformation and upgrading of the real path. The relationship between the rationalization and elevation of industrial structure and economic growth in Shijiazhuang is also studied. On the basis of the above statistical analysis, this paper studies the direction of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading and the choice of leading industries in Shijiazhuang, combined with the overall development strategy of the 12th Five-Year Plan of Shijiazhuang. The policy orientation and suggestion of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading in Shijiazhuang are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F427

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